greenlindsay
0x4578a7b60337b9fb9313259b55a9356493be18df
- Realised P&L
- $26.16
- Volume
- $13.2k
- Markets traded
- 79
- Open portfolio
- $46.74
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded79
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration90.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration79.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on September 28? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.600 | $37.17 | +$4.34 |
| Will Elon tweet 960-999 times in September 2026? · No | 0.904 | 0.946 | $9.56 | +$0.42 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$32.12at 0.524Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-22?
- +$24.35at 0.558Pacers vs. Bulls
- +$10.37at 0.540Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 26?
- +$1.58at 0.650Will Biden pardon Liz Cheney?
- +$0.73at 0.936Will Everton win on 2024-12-22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 16:29 | Will Elon tweet 960-999 times in September 2026? | BUY | 0.9039999525 | $9.14 |
| 01-31 13:26 | Will Ethena hit $0.29 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.92 |
| 01-30 13:07 | Will Opendoor reach $10.25 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.04 |
| 01-30 13:04 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of January? | BUY | 0.9979999755 | $11.16 |
| 01-30 12:30 | Will Gold (GC) settle over $6,500 on the final trading day of January 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $27.38 |
| 12-30 16:57 | Will Trump pardon Matt Gaetz in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.81 |
| 12-30 15:43 | Putin out as President of Russia in 2025? | BUY | 0.9979999324 | $6.38 |
| 12-30 13:52 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $15.31 |
| 12-29 22:40 | Will Trump sell 2.5k-5k Gold Cards in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $17.77 |
| 12-29 19:27 | Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $25.78 |
| 10-30 21:59 | Will XRP reach $3.50 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.68 |
| 10-30 20:21 | Will Google have the top AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.99 | $12.11 |
| 09-29 15:34 | Lisa Cook arrested by September 30? | BUY | 0.9969999705 | $15.79 |
| 09-29 09:16 | Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.29 |
| 09-29 00:03 | Will Solana reach $350 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $17.47 |