Eqqs
0x4577b2f57566383dfcd24f283868f8d711fdf436
- Realised P&L
- $-688.94
- Volume
- $38.7k
- Markets traded
- 129
- Open portfolio
- $101.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded129
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$142.13at 0.230Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 5?
- +$128.58at 0.158Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 8?
- +$128.08at 0.641Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?
- +$115.04at 0.758Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on August 4?
- +$99.00at 0.500Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-09 05:04 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.3483660329 | $45.99 |
| 08-09 05:03 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.1559727111 | $32.35 |
| 08-08 13:23 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.2 | $4.00 |
| 08-08 13:22 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.2 | $3.00 |
| 08-08 13:16 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.1951020408 | $9.56 |
| 08-08 08:54 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.1881269986 | $41.18 |
| 08-08 06:10 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.07 |
| 08-08 03:53 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.23 | $1.84 |
| 08-08 03:52 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.22 | $1.10 |
| 08-08 03:50 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.0484444444 | $0.87 |
| 08-08 03:38 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.0507352941 | $3.45 |
| 08-08 03:37 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.0534431 | $5.34 |
| 08-08 03:32 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.5386111111 | $19.39 |
| 08-08 03:32 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.6013333333 | $36.08 |
| 08-08 03:31 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.5428571429 | $19.00 |