CyberLei
0x4575023cd082074ea2a7e07a22337f04c94b3bf7
- Realised P&L
- $-5.20
- Volume
- $671.01
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $0.33
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration71.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)81.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.075 | $0.33 | −$0.67 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July? · No | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group C · T1 | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana · Invictus Gaming | 0.628 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 4 Winner · LYON | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will CXMT’s market cap be 400 billion yuan or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.018 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.09at 0.115LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 3 Winner
- +$2.12at 0.328Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$1.15at 0.472LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
- +$1.14at 0.472LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winner
- +$0.78at 0.392LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-07 17:02 | Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2299998275 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 16:58 | Will Invictus Gaming win the LPL 2026 season? | BUY | 0.1089999139 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 16:57 | LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-05 04:29 | LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | BUY | 0.4599997608 | $1.00 |
| 09-05 04:28 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.04 | $1.14 |
| 08-05 15:48 | LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana | BUY | 0.64 | $5.00 |
| 08-01 14:26 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 14:26 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 14:24 | LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana | BUY | 0.609999939 | $3.00 |
| 07-21 11:18 | Will CXMT’s market cap be 400 billion yuan or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.018 | $9.00 |
| 07-20 11:36 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.937 | $4.69 |
| 07-16 05:51 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.2699999681 | $5.00 |
| 07-16 03:58 | LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group C | BUY | 0.429999828 | $1.00 |
| 07-15 14:27 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.3174998135 | $1.00 |
| 07-12 11:47 | LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winner | SELL | 0.999 | $2.17 |