goonthen
0x45738c3b2953f1a57eca1cc3c855fcedf3aaaf6c
- Realised P&L
- $-0.10
- Volume
- $24.0k
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $270.57
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration91.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$573.85at 0.122US forces in Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
- +$273.22at 0.460Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$194.71at 0.610Over $20M committed to the Gensyn public sale?
- +$185.17at 0.632Will Israel strike Gaza on October 23?
- +$113.33at 0.150US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-08 00:21 | Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 10? | BUY | 0.5399999147 | $2.66 |
| 03-08 00:18 | US forces enter Iran by March 14? | BUY | 0.8060708046 | $200.00 |
| 03-08 00:18 | Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8? | SELL | 0.7041284181 | $202.66 |
| 03-07 17:14 | Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8? | BUY | 0.6622696848 | $705.96 |
| 03-07 17:13 | Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | BUY | 0.1899402099 | $100.00 |
| 01-24 19:12 | Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31? | BUY | 0.0239747067 | $10.00 |
| 01-12 18:19 | Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | BUY | 0.0372304983 | $36.48 |
| 01-12 06:44 | Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | BUY | 0.044016952 | $15.00 |
| 01-12 06:43 | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0419999984 | $25.00 |
| 01-12 06:42 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0610000001 | $50.00 |
| 01-12 06:41 | Will the US strike Somalia next? | BUY | 0.5091993716 | $100.00 |
| 01-12 06:41 | Will the US strike Venezuela next? | BUY | 0.0246420352 | $100.00 |
| 01-12 06:40 | Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.032 | $100.00 |
| 01-12 06:38 | Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.46 | $9.64 |
| 01-12 06:35 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BUY | 0.8 | $240.00 |