PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

goonthen

0x45738c3b2953f1a57eca1cc3c855fcedf3aaaf6c

Realised P&L
$-0.10
Volume
$24.0k
Markets traded
31
Open portfolio
$270.57

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded31
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration91.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US forces enter Iran by March 14? · No0.8061.000$248.12+$48.12
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · Yes0.0390.017$22.45−$29.03
Over 150,000 bidders in the MegaETH public sale? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00−$12.80
Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No0.3110.000$0.00−$36.10
Will Lighter dip to $2 before 2027? · No0.0700.000$0.00−$14.70
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by October 31? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00−$10.00
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025? · Yes0.0430.000$0.00−$20.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10PM ET · Up0.0200.000$0.00−$1.00
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.0610.000$0.00−$50.00
Will the US strike Venezuela next? · Yes0.0230.000$0.00−$115.87
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Gold close between $4200 and $4300 at the end of 2025? · Yes0.2930.000$0.00−$76.70
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00−$29.00
Will Gold close between $4100 and $4200 at the end of 2025? · Yes0.0370.000$0.00−$41.70
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00−$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-08 00:21Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 10?BUY0.5399999147$2.66
03-08 00:18US forces enter Iran by March 14?BUY0.8060708046$200.00
03-08 00:18Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?SELL0.7041284181$202.66
03-07 17:14Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?BUY0.6622696848$705.96
03-07 17:13Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY0.1899402099$100.00
01-24 19:12Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?BUY0.0239747067$10.00
01-12 18:19Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?BUY0.0372304983$36.48
01-12 06:44Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?BUY0.044016952$15.00
01-12 06:43Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?BUY0.0419999984$25.00
01-12 06:42Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?BUY0.0610000001$50.00
01-12 06:41Will the US strike Somalia next?BUY0.5091993716$100.00
01-12 06:41Will the US strike Venezuela next?BUY0.0246420352$100.00
01-12 06:40Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?BUY0.032$100.00
01-12 06:38Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY0.46$9.64
01-12 06:35Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?BUY0.8$240.00