smo365
0x456b7ecb9b190086b12a874761b74b8d7a1d2fd9
- Realised P&L
- $-2.1k
- Volume
- $67.1k
- Markets traded
- 2
- Open portfolio
- $228.08
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded2
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.024 | 0.005 | $228.08 | −$876.55 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-1.1kat 0.655Will Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 18:11 | Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.004 | $11.65 |
| 09-16 17:48 | Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.004 | $8.09 |
| 09-15 08:19 | Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.004 | $4.00 |
| 06-06 16:46 | Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0184818728 | $285.96 |
| 06-06 13:05 | Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0269999972 | $9.15 |
| 06-06 11:55 | Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0266733854 | $953.29 |
| 08-06 05:20 | Will Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? | SELL | 0.43 | $2.1k |
| 07-31 09:03 | Will Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? | BUY | 0.6548668422 | $3.1k |