PolyBot

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Traders

NowaAI

0x4562231ad8653baedff7af069035bfa434adaa66

Realised P&L
$688.13
Volume
$1.22M
Markets traded
116
Open portfolio
$26.98

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded116
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republicans win the Alabama governor race in 2026? · Yes0.9390.906$9.53$0.34
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No0.9930.997$6.58+$0.02
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No0.9820.983$6.53+$0.00
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.9900.999$4.34+$0.04
Tigers vs. Mariners · Mariners0.6400.000$0.00$20.00
Yankees vs. Blue Jays · Yankees0.4790.000$0.00$41.00
Will Stable launch a token in 2025? · No0.1800.000$0.00$54.00
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5) · New York Yankees0.6700.000$0.00$41.00
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets · Nuggets0.5800.000$0.00$40.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-24 19:49Will Iran target a Arab country on August 29, 2026?BUY0.9399999937$6.00
07-13 16:56Will Rosalía perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?BUY0.9935710759$7.87
07-13 16:54Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on July 14?BUY0.96$8.28
07-04 09:08Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on July 4?BUY0.988999999$5.00
05-13 21:37Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in May?BUY0.9952582876$40.00
04-21 17:00Will Amazon acquire TikTok?BUY0.9489999961$9.32
04-21 16:58Will the Republicans win the Alabama governor race in 2026?BUY0.9389999981$9.87
03-23 16:44Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.9929999991$6.56
03-23 16:43Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.99$4.30
03-15 22:11Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.9909999998$5.86
03-15 22:09Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY0.9829999983$8.10
02-25 22:11Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.9819999982$6.53
12-04 17:15Is Earth flat?BUY0.9979999919$62.00
12-04 17:15MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?SELL0.93$59.27
12-04 17:15USDT depeg in 2025?SELL0.9899251878$60.60