PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

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Traders

0x455e252e45ee46d6c4cc1c8fadd3899d68f245a1

Realised P&L
$3.82
Volume
$598.25
Markets traded
120
Open portfolio
$17.25

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded120
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31? · Yes0.7100.915$3.18+$0.71
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.7820.905$2.73+$0.37
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? · No0.9340.983$2.64+$0.13
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · No0.7800.826$2.53+$0.14
Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? · No0.9800.990$2.37+$0.02
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? · No0.4500.510$1.13+$0.13
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? · No0.8200.972$1.07+$0.17
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? · No0.6700.715$1.07+$0.07
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? · No0.5800.325$0.52$0.41
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 1 England? · No0.8200.000$0.00$1.00
Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.5100.000$0.00$1.00
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 2 Winner · G2 Esports0.6400.000$0.00$5.00
Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner · OG0.5700.000$0.00$1.00
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner · GamerLegion0.4000.000$0.00$1.00
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winner · Weibo Gaming0.4700.000$0.00$2.19

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-27 17:58Amazon 2026 capex above $180B?SELL0.963$0.24
07-27 16:46Will LAB reach $24 before 2027?SELL0.93$1.54
07-27 16:39Will LAB reach $24 before 2027?SELL0.93$1.93
07-27 14:30Will LAB reach $24 before 2027?SELL0.93$0.38
07-27 14:29Will LAB reach $24 before 2027?SELL0.93$0.96
07-25 17:12LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 WinnerSELL0.99$2.28
07-25 17:09LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 WinnerSELL0.92$0.07
07-25 17:09LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 WinnerSELL0.92$0.05
07-25 17:09LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 WinnerSELL0.92$0.05
07-25 17:09LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 WinnerSELL0.91$0.21
07-25 17:09LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 WinnerSELL0.9$0.59
07-25 16:39LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.64$2.16
07-25 15:00Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?BUY0.124$0.54
07-25 14:35Will the margin of victory at the end of the 2026 Tour De France be >7 minutes?BUY0.9$2.25
07-25 12:36LoL: Top Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.57$2.14