0x4558c40d0a3496335838a7e72663d4d91ddcfb37
0x4558c40d0a3496335838a7e72663d4d91ddcfb37
- Realised P&L
- $31.30
- Volume
- $47.24
- Markets traded
- 2
- Open portfolio
- $9.79
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar66.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded2
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration31.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Air Force (-7.5) · Northern Illinois | 0.500 | 0.535 | $9.73 | +$0.64 |
| Spread: Kansas State (-2.5) · Kansas State | 0.500 | 0.004 | $0.07 | −$9.37 |
| Spread: Army (-4.5) · Army | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.36 |
| Palermo: Jonas Forejtek vs Alejandro Moro Canas · Alejandro Moro Canas | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.93 |
| Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky · Missouri State | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.43 |
| Spread: Pittsburgh (-3.5) · Pittsburgh | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.43 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.60at 0.320Spread: Louisville (-3.5)
- +$10.20at 0.500Spread: Oklahoma State (-10.5)
- +$10.00at 0.500Spread: Cowboys (-8.5)
- +$8.77at 0.500Shanghai Rolex Masters: Dalibor Svrcina vs Tomas Etcheverry
- +$8.62at 0.500Spread: Washington (-3.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07 16:35 | Braga: Florian Broska vs Lukas Neumayer | BUY | 0.5 | $8.47 |