talgotrade
0x4555e0453c10e72f424dc85150b70c2af905220c
- Realised P&L
- $-1.4k
- Volume
- $184.1k
- Markets traded
- 126
- Open portfolio
- $2.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded126
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.4kat 0.367Knicks vs. Spurs
- +$959.93at 0.159Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$709.88at 0.220Will the price of Ethereum be between $3700 and $3800 on July 30?
- +$667.43at 0.437Will the price of Ethereum be between $3600 and $3700 on July 25?
- +$591.34at 0.389Will the price of Ethereum be between $3800 and $3900 on July 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 12:10 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.5287584014 | $600.00 |
| 09-16 12:10 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.3 | $300.00 |
| 07-28 07:37 | Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.2199999985 | $100.00 |
| 07-28 07:36 | Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.2199999992 | $200.00 |
| 07-24 16:45 | Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.0339999997 | $100.00 |
| 07-24 16:45 | Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.1899999994 | $200.00 |
| 07-24 16:44 | Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.0899999992 | $100.00 |
| 07-24 16:43 | Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.036 | $199.57 |
| 07-23 09:55 | Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.078599492 | $200.00 |
| 07-23 09:55 | Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.0749999997 | $200.00 |
| 07-23 09:54 | Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.0360778764 | $200.00 |
| 07-23 09:54 | Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.0195182905 | $200.00 |
| 07-22 20:34 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22? | BUY | 0.014 | $5.00 |
| 07-22 20:31 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? | BUY | 0.2799999854 | $10.00 |
| 07-02 16:44 | Spain vs. Austria: Will the Match Go to Extra Time? | SELL | 0.17 | $46.28 |