VasiTradesTheWorld
0x45515a42f24799cb4f6136b948bf957a0233fe96
- Realised P&L
- $-32.08
- Volume
- $267.40
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $1.91
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-12.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.375 | $1.91 | −$1.09 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET · Up | 0.513 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET · Down | 0.707 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? · Yes | 0.459 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Australia win Eurovision 2026? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.31at 0.491S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 11?
- +$1.54at 0.836Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
- +$0.89at 0.645Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$0.77at 0.558Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
- +$-0.28at 0.860S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-12 19:49 | Will Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.5899998112 | $3.00 |
| 07-19 21:44 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.93 | $2.93 |
| 07-19 20:55 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.6339999106 | $2.00 |
| 05-16 22:59 | Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.98 | $2.36 |
| 05-16 22:56 | Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.8299999792 | $2.00 |
| 05-16 22:23 | Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.254 | $2.33 |
| 05-16 22:09 | Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.1089999139 | $1.00 |
| 05-16 22:09 | Will Greece win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.0313420753 | $0.55 |
| 05-16 19:50 | Will Greece win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.0569999484 | $1.00 |
| 05-16 18:27 | Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.4589999582 | $5.00 |
| 05-16 18:27 | Will Australia win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999681 | $5.00 |
| 05-14 19:30 | Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $1.78 |
| 05-13 11:11 | Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.2918997365 | $4.00 |
| 03-21 17:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET | BUY | 0.4099998237 | $0.97 |
| 03-21 17:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET | BUY | 0.66 | $0.97 |