KuTnerr
0x455126adc4c2e49bbd1d06b3aedffb4ce88c3721
- Realised P&L
- $-49.93
- Volume
- $9.4k
- Markets traded
- 114
- Open portfolio
- $42.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded114
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration76.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.284 | 0.310 | $32.65 | +$2.75 |
| Will François Hollande announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.525 | $9.90 | +$0.09 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$37.21at 0.304Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?
- +$31.59at 0.480FDA approves Sanofi's Dupixent?
- +$25.23at 0.695Will Trump say "Iran" during College Football Roundtable?
- +$20.92at 0.193NYSE trading floor opening delayed Monday?
- +$19.93at 0.130Will Trump say "Jesus" this week? (March 8)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-15 07:49 | Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.2313252932 | $20.00 |
| 07-15 07:44 | Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.6 | $16.51 |
| 05-15 07:49 | Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31? | BUY | 0.5799999988 | $50.00 |
| 05-15 07:49 | Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15? | SELL | 0.94 | $56.12 |
| 05-15 07:35 | Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31? | BUY | 0.5799999892 | $51.72 |
| 05-13 16:14 | Will Fabien Roussel be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.5835639958 | $11.22 |
| 05-13 16:10 | Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15? | BUY | 0.669999995 | $40.00 |
| 05-13 16:09 | Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15? | SELL | 0.33 | $20.12 |
| 05-13 10:03 | Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15? | BUY | 0.4099999954 | $25.00 |
| 05-13 10:02 | Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15? | SELL | 0.5915467904 | $30.59 |
| 05-13 07:44 | Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15? | BUY | 0.5799999942 | $30.00 |
| 04-23 15:14 | Will François Hollande announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999813 | $9.62 |
| 04-23 15:10 | Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.5199999813 | $9.62 |
| 04-23 15:10 | Will Fabien Roussel be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.5099999786 | $9.61 |
| 04-23 15:09 | Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.5347633527 | $14.44 |