freddymarket
0x454e3dd3d0017ed70a982a727b5ca13e2bc2c8e0
- Realised P&L
- $7.47
- Volume
- $405.36
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $1.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration75.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.62at 0.128Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
- +$1.69at 0.136Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?
- +$0.89at 0.537Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
- +$0.53at 0.627Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
- +$0.53at 0.388Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 19:51 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.0392156863 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 19:50 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.007 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 19:50 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 19:47 | LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs NightBirds (BO3) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 19:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET | SELL | 0.35 | $0.83 |
| 09-30 19:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 20:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $1.02 |
| 09-25 20:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET | BUY | 0.97 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 20:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 26? | BUY | 0.9809999922 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 07:15 | Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 07:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET | SELL | 0.46 | $2.63 |
| 09-25 07:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $2.00 |
| 09-25 06:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET | BUY | 0.68 | $2.00 |
| 09-25 06:51 | Solana Up or Down - September 25, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 06:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET | SELL | 0.8 | $2.62 |