0x454C90fFF250AaBDfA4A6F2cd56efc63b45b2CfF-1745087903407
0x454c90fff250aabdfa4a6f2cd56efc63b45b2cff
- Realised P&L
- $-107.54
- Volume
- $3.4k
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $35.12
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.109 | 0.011 | $22.90 | −$194.14 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.011 | $12.22 | −$87.78 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$174.37at 0.450Liberals win majority in Canadian election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-03 00:24 | Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1089940742 | $217.04 |
| 01-03 00:23 | Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999992 | $100.00 |
| 04-20 23:07 | Liberals win majority in Canadian election? | BUY | 0.4499999989 | $142.67 |