duwrt
0x454c7347fb5af64e95cc2a24b5c3edf7d484b413
- Realised P&L
- $-100.32
- Volume
- $88.8k
- Markets traded
- 90
- Open portfolio
- $100.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded90
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration58.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.115 | $46.00 | −$238.00 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by July 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.580 | $29.00 | +$0.50 |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.125 | $25.00 | −$19.00 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$36.00 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.115 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.00 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.087 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.40 |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.092 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.40 |
| Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on April 8? · Up | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.50 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$166.17at 0.169Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$74.00at 0.630US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
- +$35.00at 0.650US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?
- +$13.00at 0.500Will Macron call a referendum by December 31?
- +$11.50at 0.410Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 11:51 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by July 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.57 | $28.50 |
| 08-22 09:49 | Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.22 | $44.00 |
| 07-14 12:55 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.56 | $56.00 |
| 06-18 06:50 | Will the announcers say "Loose Ball" during the Mexico vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match? | SELL | 0.44 | $8.80 |
| 06-18 06:50 | Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | SELL | 0.11 | $5.50 |
| 06-18 06:50 | Will Rick Jackson win the Georgia Republican Governor Primary Runoff by 5–10%? | SELL | 0.24 | $4.80 |
| 06-18 06:49 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar? | SELL | 0.035 | $0.19 |
| 06-18 06:49 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.971 | $19.42 |
| 06-18 06:49 | Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma? | SELL | 0.88 | $44.00 |
| 06-18 06:17 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar? | SELL | 0.0683068996 | $3.05 |
| 06-18 06:16 | Will Safepoint not IPO before August 2026? | SELL | 0.073 | $3.65 |
| 06-18 06:16 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026? | SELL | 0.6105 | $12.21 |
| 06-18 05:56 | Will the announcers say "History" during the Mexico vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match? | SELL | 0.22 | $4.40 |
| 06-18 05:50 | Will the announcers say "Golden Boot" during the Czechia vs South Africa FIFA World Cup Match? | SELL | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 06-18 05:49 | Will the announcers say "Qatar" during the Czechia vs South Africa FIFA World Cup Match? | SELL | 0.35 | $7.00 |