0x4548adb292c42c45f1facfdd09d8b54f4f09b143
0x4548adb292c42c45f1facfdd09d8b54f4f09b143
- Realised P&L
- $-6.17
- Volume
- $453.56
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $15.08
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration78.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration93.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.920 | $14.16 | −$0.31 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.032 | $0.91 | −$19.09 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.81at 0.840US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
- +$1.02at 0.490Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
- +$-1.00at 0.005Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
- +$-10.00at 0.120Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-27 06:42 | Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.4899999966 | $50.00 |
| 03-27 06:33 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 03-23 20:58 | Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by March 31? | BUY | 0.1199999899 | $10.00 |
| 03-23 20:58 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999952 | $20.00 |
| 03-23 20:58 | Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass? | BUY | 0.9399999974 | $14.47 |
| 03-23 20:58 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | BUY | 0.8399999798 | $20.00 |