0x4546E8E247e32F384868e0F07A3719B2562E1651-1772724032429
0x4546e8e247e32f384868e0f07a3719b2562e1651
- Realised P&L
- $-170.98
- Volume
- $46.0k
- Markets traded
- 4,568
- Open portfolio
- $54.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,568
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration32.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$33.15at 0.091Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 10?
- +$19.17at 0.091Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 15?
- +$17.91at 0.091Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 16?
- +$17.32at 0.250Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on July 10?
- +$16.79at 0.091Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 15:48 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.35 |
| 08-04 13:27 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.40 |
| 08-04 13:07 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.05 |
| 08-04 12:18 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.50 |
| 08-04 09:54 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.20 |
| 08-04 09:47 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 4? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.40 |
| 08-04 09:17 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 08-04 08:49 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 08-04 08:48 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.05 |
| 08-04 08:47 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 40°C or higher on August 6? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 08-04 08:47 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 08-04 08:18 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.09 | $0.45 |
| 08-04 08:18 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 08-04 08:18 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C or below on August 6? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 08-04 08:18 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.05 |