0x4546E8E247e32F384868e0F07A3719B2562E1651-1772724032429
0x4546e8e247e32f384868e0f07a3719b2562e1651
- Realised P&L
- $-175.41
- Volume
- $54.0k
- Markets traded
- 6,175
- Open portfolio
- $38.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded6,175
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration33.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)6.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$33.10at 0.091Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 10?
- +$17.83at 0.091Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 16?
- +$17.32at 0.250Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on July 10?
- +$16.80at 0.091Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 10?
- +$16.64at 0.342Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 22:35 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 09-18 22:35 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 09-18 22:35 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C or higher on September 20? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 09-18 22:35 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 09-18 22:11 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.30 |
| 09-18 22:03 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.05 |
| 09-18 21:23 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be 80°F or higher on September 19? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 09-18 20:46 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on September 18? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.30 |
| 09-18 19:34 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 09-18 19:34 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 09-18 18:37 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.01 |
| 09-18 18:37 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C or below on September 20? | SELL | 0.001492 | $0.01 |
| 09-18 18:37 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.01 |
| 09-18 18:37 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.93 | $4.65 |
| 09-18 18:14 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.09 | $0.45 |