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0x4546E8E247e32F384868e0F07A3719B2562E1651-1772724032429

0x4546e8e247e32f384868e0f07a3719b2562e1651

Realised P&L
$-170.98
Volume
$46.0k
Markets traded
4,568
Open portfolio
$54.24

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded4,568
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration32.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 15:48Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 5?SELL0.07$0.35
08-04 13:27Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on August 4?SELL0.08$0.40
08-04 13:07Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 6?SELL0.01$0.05
08-04 12:18Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 5?SELL0.1$0.50
08-04 09:54Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 6?SELL0.04$0.20
08-04 09:47Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 4?SELL0.08$0.40
08-04 09:17Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 6?SELL0.001$0.01
08-04 08:49Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 6?SELL0.001$0.01
08-04 08:48Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on August 6?SELL0.01$0.05
08-04 08:47Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 40°C or higher on August 6?SELL0.001$0.01
08-04 08:47Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 6?SELL0.001$0.01
08-04 08:18Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 6?SELL0.09$0.45
08-04 08:18Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 6?SELL0.001$0.01
08-04 08:18Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C or below on August 6?SELL0.001$0.01
08-04 08:18Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 6?SELL0.01$0.05
Trader 0x4546E8E247e32F384868e0F07A3719B2562E1651-1772724032429 · PolyBot