PolyBot

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Traders

0x4546E8E247e32F384868e0F07A3719B2562E1651-1772724032429

0x4546e8e247e32f384868e0f07a3719b2562e1651

Realised P&L
$-175.41
Volume
$54.0k
Markets traded
6,175
Open portfolio
$38.59

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded6,175
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration33.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)6.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on September 18? · Yes0.1001.000$4.99+$4.49
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on September 20? · Yes0.0980.615$3.08+$2.58
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 20? · Yes0.0990.585$2.92+$2.43
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on September 20? · Yes0.1000.580$2.90+$2.40
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 19? · Yes0.0930.525$2.63+$2.16
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 19? · Yes0.1000.415$2.07+$1.57
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 19? · Yes0.0970.375$1.88+$1.39
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 19? · Yes0.1000.365$1.82+$1.32
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 19? · Yes0.0990.335$1.68+$1.18
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 20? · Yes0.0980.325$1.63+$1.14
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on September 20? · Yes0.1000.305$1.52+$1.03
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 20? · Yes0.0930.295$1.48+$1.01
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 20? · Yes0.0930.295$1.48+$1.01
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 19? · Yes0.0930.280$1.40+$0.94
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 20? · Yes0.0990.275$1.38+$0.88

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 22:35Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on September 20?SELL0.001$0.01
09-18 22:35Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 20?SELL0.001$0.01
09-18 22:35Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C or higher on September 20?SELL0.001$0.01
09-18 22:35Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 20?BUY0.998$4.99
09-18 22:11Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 20?SELL0.06$0.30
09-18 22:03Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 20?SELL0.01$0.05
09-18 21:23Will the highest temperature in New York City be 80°F or higher on September 19?SELL0.001$0.01
09-18 20:46Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on September 18?SELL0.06$0.30
09-18 19:34Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 20?SELL0.001$0.01
09-18 19:34Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 20?SELL0.001$0.01
09-18 18:37Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 20?SELL0.002$0.01
09-18 18:37Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C or below on September 20?SELL0.001492$0.01
09-18 18:37Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on September 20?SELL0.002$0.01
09-18 18:37Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 20?BUY0.93$4.65
09-18 18:14Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 19?SELL0.09$0.45