W1se30
0x453f50e3c0460c7ff9ed6908219111a40cba87db
- Realised P&L
- $-7.8k
- Volume
- $31.2k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-25.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration81.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)77.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will XRP dip to $0.60 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.443 | 0.080 | $600.79 | −$2.7k |
| Will XRP dip to $0.40 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.384 | 0.033 | $347.52 | −$3.7k |
| Will XRP dip to $0.80 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.475 | 0.175 | $307.74 | −$528.42 |
| Will XRP dip to $0.20 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.194 | 0.022 | $147.60 | −$1.2k |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · No | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$181.63 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? · Yes | 0.860 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.78 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$408.61at 0.713Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
- +$93.55at 0.685Will XRP dip to $1.00 by December 31, 2026?
- +$0.60at 0.462Spread: Spain (-1.5)
- +$0.43at 0.775Will England win on 2026-07-01?
- +$0.38at 0.775Will France win on 2026-06-30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-20 16:40 | Will XRP dip to $0.80 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2199998491 | $1.05 |
| 08-16 10:57 | Will XRP dip to $0.60 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2199998928 | $1.19 |
| 08-12 11:24 | Will XRP dip to $0.80 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.45 | $5.85 |
| 08-12 11:23 | Will XRP dip to $0.80 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4499999998 | $684.38 |
| 08-11 15:05 | Will XRP dip to $0.60 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $4.05 |
| 08-11 15:05 | Will XRP dip to $0.60 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2075638634 | $278.27 |
| 08-11 15:00 | Will XRP dip to $1.00 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $297.82 |
| 08-10 11:15 | Will XRP dip to $1.00 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8899999343 | $1.22 |
| 08-05 09:37 | Will XRP dip to $0.80 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4799999404 | $1.61 |
| 07-30 18:31 | Will XRP dip to $0.80 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5899998375 | $1.38 |
| 07-25 09:34 | Will XRP dip to $1.00 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8599999885 | $1.49 |
| 07-21 11:19 | Will XRP dip to $0.80 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.09 |
| 07-18 22:23 | France vs. England: Team to Win | SELL | 0.245 | $0.37 |
| 07-18 10:12 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 07-15 11:03 | Will XRP dip to $0.80 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.77 |