0x453c5525D9F0E4B40430E92000E5191Fb402F5ee-1720519472806
0x453c5525d9f0e4b40430e92000e5191fb402f5ee
- Realised P&L
- $1.2k
- Volume
- $14.8k
- Markets traded
- 73
- Open portfolio
- $115.41
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar8.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded73
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-31 House seat? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.940 | $54.38 | +$0.00 |
| Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No | 0.988 | 0.976 | $48.87 | −$0.60 |
| Will Houston Dynamo FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? · No | 0.979 | 0.973 | $12.16 | −$0.08 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$304.01at 0.240Raptors vs. 76ers
- +$296.00at 0.630Rockets vs. Grizzlies
- +$272.00at 0.320Pacers vs. 76ers
- +$237.00at 0.210Pistons vs. Knicks
- +$228.00at 0.430Spurs vs. Pacers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-20 11:32 | Will Canada strike Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.993 | $22.72 |
| 08-12 12:01 | Ethereum Up or Down on August 14? | BUY | 0.5 | $700.00 |
| 02-13 07:20 | Clippers vs. Jazz | BUY | 0.74 | $296.00 |
| 02-12 08:51 | Spurs vs. Celtics | BUY | 0.26 | $52.00 |
| 02-11 12:25 | Raptors vs. 76ers | BUY | 0.2399942634 | $96.00 |
| 02-10 07:43 | Jazz vs. Lakers | BUY | 0.8703498691 | $348.00 |
| 02-03 07:13 | Pelicans vs. Nuggets | BUY | 0.16 | $32.00 |
| 01-31 11:17 | Bulls vs. Raptors | BUY | 0.6099989152 | $488.00 |
| 01-30 05:12 | Rockets vs. Grizzlies | BUY | 0.63 | $504.00 |
| 01-23 10:32 | Spurs vs. Pacers | BUY | 0.43 | $172.00 |
| 01-22 05:58 | Panthers vs. Kings | BUY | 0.4864173091 | $97.30 |
| 01-20 07:31 | Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies | BUY | 0.3849922008 | $77.00 |
| 01-15 08:52 | Heat vs. Lakers | BUY | 0.6599977494 | $264.00 |
| 01-13 10:18 | Timberwolves vs. Wizards | BUY | 0.89 | $356.00 |
| 01-05 10:32 | Kings vs. Warriors | BUY | 0.43 | $172.00 |