PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x453c5525D9F0E4B40430E92000E5191Fb402F5ee-1720519472806

0x453c5525d9f0e4b40430e92000e5191fb402f5ee

Realised P&L
$1.2k
Volume
$14.8k
Markets traded
73
Open portfolio
$115.41

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar8.2%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded73
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republican Party win the TX-31 House seat? · Yes0.9400.940$54.38+$0.00
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.9880.976$48.87−$0.60
Will Houston Dynamo FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? · No0.9790.973$12.16−$0.08

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-20 11:32Will Canada strike Iran by March 31?BUY0.993$22.72
08-12 12:01Ethereum Up or Down on August 14?BUY0.5$700.00
02-13 07:20Clippers vs. JazzBUY0.74$296.00
02-12 08:51Spurs vs. CelticsBUY0.26$52.00
02-11 12:25Raptors vs. 76ersBUY0.2399942634$96.00
02-10 07:43Jazz vs. LakersBUY0.8703498691$348.00
02-03 07:13Pelicans vs. NuggetsBUY0.16$32.00
01-31 11:17Bulls vs. RaptorsBUY0.6099989152$488.00
01-30 05:12Rockets vs. GrizzliesBUY0.63$504.00
01-23 10:32Spurs vs. PacersBUY0.43$172.00
01-22 05:58Panthers vs. KingsBUY0.4864173091$97.30
01-20 07:31Timberwolves vs. GrizzliesBUY0.3849922008$77.00
01-15 08:52Heat vs. LakersBUY0.6599977494$264.00
01-13 10:18Timberwolves vs. WizardsBUY0.89$356.00
01-05 10:32Kings vs. WarriorsBUY0.43$172.00