PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x45378F903266161d6Ba2f8cF413Ab02a050Dd7a6-1778261838088

0x45378f903266161d6ba2f8cf413ab02a050dd7a6

Realised P&L
$-28.31
Volume
$6.4k
Markets traded
66
Open portfolio
$2.76

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded66
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 8th Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 5.5m? · Yes0.4500.335$1.49$0.51
Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m? · Yes0.2990.190$1.27$0.73
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.6180.000$0.00$2.00
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5020.000$0.00$2.00
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00$2.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.7300.000$0.00$3.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$6.00
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France0.6000.000$0.00$10.00
Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes0.4300.000$0.00$2.00
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0980.000$0.00$5.00
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0270.000$0.00$0.84
Will England win on 2026-06-23? · Yes0.8120.000$0.00$5.00
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? · Yes0.5200.000$0.00$2.00
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? · Yes0.6800.000$0.00$3.01
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? · Yes0.5900.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 08:55Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 8th Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 5.5m?BUY0.4499999438$2.00
09-18 06:34Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m?SELL0.051$0.46
09-18 03:44Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30?SELL0.63$8.16
09-17 07:56Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m?SELL0.06$0.92
09-16 20:21Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?BUY0.2989999647$2.00
09-16 19:32Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m?BUY0.220999994$2.00
09-16 18:35Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m?BUY0.1299999948$2.00
09-13 17:51Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30?BUY0.5499999425$2.39
09-12 15:50Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30?BUY0.5799999768$5.00
09-12 15:32Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?SELL0.42$4.52
09-11 10:53Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?BUY0.6499999861$7.00
09-10 01:55Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 38m?SELL0.56$7.46
09-09 18:37Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 38m?BUY0.299999985$4.00
09-08 05:37Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?SELL0.79$15.72
09-05 15:27Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?BUY0.2699999163$2.00