0x45378F903266161d6Ba2f8cF413Ab02a050Dd7a6-1778261838088
0x45378f903266161d6ba2f8cf413ab02a050dd7a6
- Realised P&L
- $-28.31
- Volume
- $6.4k
- Markets traded
- 66
- Open portfolio
- $2.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded66
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.62at 0.661Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?
- +$6.18at 0.681Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?
- +$3.60at 0.552Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
- +$3.44at 0.494Will England win on 2026-07-01?
- +$3.16at 0.310Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 38m?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 08:55 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 8th Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 5.5m? | BUY | 0.4499999438 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 06:34 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m? | SELL | 0.051 | $0.46 |
| 09-18 03:44 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30? | SELL | 0.63 | $8.16 |
| 09-17 07:56 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.92 |
| 09-16 20:21 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m? | BUY | 0.2989999647 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 19:32 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m? | BUY | 0.220999994 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 18:35 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m? | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 17:51 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30? | BUY | 0.5499999425 | $2.39 |
| 09-12 15:50 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30? | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $5.00 |
| 09-12 15:32 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30? | SELL | 0.42 | $4.52 |
| 09-11 10:53 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30? | BUY | 0.6499999861 | $7.00 |
| 09-10 01:55 | Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 38m? | SELL | 0.56 | $7.46 |
| 09-09 18:37 | Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 38m? | BUY | 0.299999985 | $4.00 |
| 09-08 05:37 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30? | SELL | 0.79 | $15.72 |
| 09-05 15:27 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30? | BUY | 0.2699999163 | $2.00 |