PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

pppooooolllmmmk

0x4535d28650075c79b4c96b9f8b48347ad6174007

Realised P&L
$871.71
Volume
$68.5k
Markets traded
50
Open portfolio
$747.54

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded50
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample45 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? · Yes0.0590.152$269.31+$164.90
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.0650.084$144.56+$31.32
Will American Airlines (AAL) beat quarterly earnings? · No0.2670.585$122.86+$66.80
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.0490.073$110.63+$35.96
Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026? · No0.4910.365$60.59−$20.90
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2480.265$23.60+$1.49
Will Houthis target Syria by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2350.225$16.00−$0.73

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 23:39Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?SELL0.053$1.59
10-08 23:39Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?SELL0.075$2.18
10-08 23:39Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?SELL0.053$0.53
10-08 23:38Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?SELL0.053$5.04
10-08 23:38Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?SELL0.053$5.04
10-08 23:38Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?SELL0.054$0.54
10-08 23:37Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?SELL0.053$1.06
10-08 23:36Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?SELL0.08$3.68
10-08 23:36Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?SELL0.08$0.40
10-08 23:34Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?SELL0.049$0.98
10-08 23:33Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?SELL0.071$0.64
10-08 23:33Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?SELL0.08$1.60
10-08 23:32Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?SELL0.057$1.71
10-08 23:31Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?SELL0.077$0.85
10-08 23:30Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?BUY0.1$3.41