Eugene22
0x45341cd6e1169d3c453464185ed9ebe5c0adec22
- Realised P&L
- $2.2k
- Volume
- $31.6k
- Markets traded
- 168
- Open portfolio
- $787.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar7.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded168
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.615 | $787.17 | +$531.48 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.896Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
- +$509.61at 0.393Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027?
- +$51.00at 0.490Bitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
- +$27.50at 0.450Bitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
- +$27.50at 0.450Bitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-04 08:54 | Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027? | BUY | 0.27 | $54.00 |
| 02-04 08:53 | Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027? | BUY | 0.26 | $9.12 |
| 02-03 12:03 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9 | $180.00 |
| 01-22 11:02 | Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027? | BUY | 0.4 | $100.00 |
| 01-17 19:22 | No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0410000002 | $10.00 |
| 01-16 11:58 | Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027? | BUY | 0.47 | $166.40 |
| 01-16 11:58 | Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? | BUY | 0.2 | $250.00 |
| 01-16 11:55 | Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? | BUY | 0.1899999756 | $5.69 |
| 01-16 09:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 16? | SELL | 0.14 | $2.80 |
| 01-15 11:14 | Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $33.00 |
| 01-14 04:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $98,000 and $100,000 on January 14? | SELL | 0.0320291 | $6.41 |
| 01-14 04:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $100,000 on January 14? | SELL | 0.0036908 | $3.69 |
| 01-14 04:29 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $96,000 and $98,000 on January 14? | SELL | 0.296 | $8.88 |
| 01-14 04:28 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 14? | SELL | 0.5 | $3.00 |
| 01-13 18:45 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 14? | BUY | 0.34 | $2.04 |