PolyBot

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Traders

Eugene22

0x45341cd6e1169d3c453464185ed9ebe5c0adec22

Realised P&L
$2.2k
Volume
$31.6k
Markets traded
168
Open portfolio
$787.17

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar7.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded168
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration64.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? · Yes0.2000.615$787.17+$531.48

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-04 08:54Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027?BUY0.27$54.00
02-04 08:53Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027?BUY0.26$9.12
02-03 12:03Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.9$180.00
01-22 11:02Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027?BUY0.4$100.00
01-17 19:22No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?BUY0.0410000002$10.00
01-16 11:58Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027?BUY0.47$166.40
01-16 11:58Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?BUY0.2$250.00
01-16 11:55Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?BUY0.1899999756$5.69
01-16 09:37Bitcoin Up or Down on January 16?SELL0.14$2.80
01-15 11:14Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?BUY0.11$33.00
01-14 04:31Will the price of Bitcoin be between $98,000 and $100,000 on January 14?SELL0.0320291$6.41
01-14 04:30Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $100,000 on January 14?SELL0.0036908$3.69
01-14 04:29Will the price of Bitcoin be between $96,000 and $98,000 on January 14?SELL0.296$8.88
01-14 04:28Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 14?SELL0.5$3.00
01-13 18:45Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 14?BUY0.34$2.04