PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x452f632362B5BaE06F4843d35544112F9198a25b-1767905834518

0x452f632362b5bae06f4843d35544112f9198a25b

Realised P&L
$-40.48
Volume
$3.2k
Markets traded
9
Open portfolio
$266.97

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded9
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
ClearProfit concentration28.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yes0.3690.385$266.97+$10.95
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$10.00
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026? · No0.1670.000$0.00$83.33
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.5400.000$0.00$30.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-06 10:36Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.3799998923$1.20
07-06 10:34Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.3691539825$254.82
06-21 23:06Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?SELL0.7330678359$262.49
05-12 11:53Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?BUY0.7463143107$64.25
04-17 14:12US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?SELL0.45$139.26
04-08 19:34US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?BUY0.8415902372$260.44
04-08 07:40US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?SELL0.999$107.50
03-25 18:54US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?BUY0.6599999996$100.94
03-25 11:25Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?SELL0.9832045587$100.94
01-14 12:07Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?BUY0.2299999869$10.00
01-11 11:54Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY0.5399999971$30.00