PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

2222yut

0x452cb6cad4ef2c25154d00de6b69e9849d972e1c

Realised P&L
$1.6k
Volume
$42.7k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$656.70

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.6%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration87.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)43.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? · No0.9850.992$656.70+$4.63
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on January 22? · Down0.1800.000$0.00$198.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-04 06:27Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?BUY0.985$652.07
07-11 02:02Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?SELL0.957$584.73
07-02 07:03Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.96$586.56
06-15 06:30Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?BUY0.952$594.05
06-10 06:46Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30?SELL0.17$211.31
06-10 06:45Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30?SELL0.17$146.37
06-10 06:45Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30?SELL0.17$95.88
05-15 08:28Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.782$454.34
05-14 01:47Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?SELL0.782$434.79
05-11 02:36Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.755$419.78
05-04 01:11Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?SELL0.876$208.49
04-26 08:34Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.8949999999$421.54
03-30 02:39Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?SELL0.108$0.54
03-30 01:23Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?SELL0.111$273.60
03-30 01:22Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?SELL0.111$59.05