overdos97
0x452c4d3ea68cfa17a70edd97ddcc4731d87bf141
- Realised P&L
- $-94.08
- Volume
- $2.6k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $27.55
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration75.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump and Putin not meet? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.135 | $16.56 | −$6.75 |
| Will Khamzat Chimaev fight Sean Strickland next? · Yes | 0.014 | 0.039 | $8.58 | +$5.58 |
| Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? · Yes | 0.053 | 0.026 | $2.41 | −$2.38 |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No | 0.264 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.08 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? · No | 0.029 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$44.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$48.93at 0.169Will the match end in a draw or not be completed?
- +$15.66at 0.395UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)
- +$-0.76at 0.092Will Carlos Ulberg be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
- +$-1.84at 0.028Will Manel Kape be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
- +$-4.95at 0.349Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-23 10:35 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.029375765 | $20.00 |
| 10-15 11:15 | Will Trump and Putin not meet? | BUY | 0.189999996 | $3.31 |
| 10-15 11:08 | Will Carlos Ulberg be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $1.33 |
| 10-15 11:08 | Will Manel Kape be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0118123559 | $1.28 |
| 10-09 09:39 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1799999992 | $19.00 |
| 10-09 09:38 | Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? | BUY | 0.0527193435 | $4.79 |
| 10-09 09:33 | Will Khamzat Chimaev fight Sean Strickland next? | BUY | 0.0136377584 | $3.00 |
| 10-09 09:31 | Will Carlos Ulberg be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999969 | $2.00 |
| 10-09 09:30 | Will Manel Kape be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0276604769 | $3.00 |
| 10-09 09:29 | Will Trump and Putin not meet? | BUY | 0.1899999998 | $20.00 |
| 10-09 09:27 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1799999986 | $10.00 |
| 10-08 16:09 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $10.00 |
| 10-08 16:07 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.4254742087 | $72.59 |
| 09-21 12:03 | Will Yabloko win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.18 |
| 09-21 12:03 | Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | SELL | 0.013 | $0.19 |