0x452aaA68111586932E7D2AB05E0B31922605ccf8-1778306728066
0x452aaa68111586932e7d2ab05e0b31922605ccf8
- Realised P&L
- $-98.13
- Volume
- $1.8k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $51.87
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration83.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ebola pandemic in 2026? · Yes | 0.084 | 0.033 | $43.23 | −$66.77 |
| Will China have an Ebola case in 2026? · Yes | 0.483 | 0.220 | $4.56 | −$5.44 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes | 0.087 | 0.035 | $4.07 | −$5.93 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 11? · Yes | 0.451 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.028 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-27 23:01 | Ebola pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.084393091 | $100.00 |
| 05-27 22:57 | Will China have an Ebola case in 2026? | BUY | 0.4827586124 | $10.00 |
| 05-27 22:56 | Ebola pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $10.00 |
| 05-11 20:06 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.0869999926 | $10.00 |
| 05-10 21:20 | Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.0284191829 | $10.00 |
| 05-10 21:12 | Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 11? | BUY | 0.4513963655 | $10.00 |