PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

garnir

0x451e6d350a5221ccb633a638f95d25fa8853a56b

Realised P&L
$-5.72
Volume
$10.5k
Markets traded
21
Open portfolio
$5.02

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded21
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration80.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample18 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on June 27? · No0.9931.000$1.96+$0.01
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,300 on September 28? · No0.9951.000$1.67+$0.01
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,200 and $1,300 on July 3? · No0.9991.000$1.39+$0.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-23 14:26Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,300 on September 28?BUY0.995$1.66
07-02 13:25Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,200 and $1,300 on July 3?BUY0.999$1.39
06-26 17:43Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on June 27?BUY0.9929996003$1.95
05-17 22:39Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?SELL0.0028450097$0.34
05-16 21:03Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?BUY0.0119999916$1.42
04-23 19:25Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,000 on April 24?BUY0.999$1.16
03-02 09:41Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,300 on March 3?BUY0.995$2.20
02-23 07:16Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on February 23?BUY0.9879999976$1.68
02-20 05:26Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on February 20?BUY0.9939999973$1.46
02-12 09:44Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on February 12?BUY0.998999649$1.48
01-26 18:39Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.997$1.0k
01-26 18:33Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.998$1.0k
01-26 18:31Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.998$1.0k
01-26 18:26Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.999$1.0k
01-26 18:25Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.998$1.0k