garnir
0x451e6d350a5221ccb633a638f95d25fa8853a56b
- Realised P&L
- $-5.72
- Volume
- $10.5k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $5.02
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration80.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on June 27? · No | 0.993 | 1.000 | $1.96 | +$0.01 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,300 on September 28? · No | 0.995 | 1.000 | $1.67 | +$0.01 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,200 and $1,300 on July 3? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $1.39 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.60at 0.290Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?
- +$0.34at 0.500Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$0.02at 0.988Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on February 23?
- +$0.01at 0.995Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,300 on March 3?
- +$0.01at 0.994Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on January 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 14:26 | Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,300 on September 28? | BUY | 0.995 | $1.66 |
| 07-02 13:25 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,200 and $1,300 on July 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.39 |
| 06-26 17:43 | Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on June 27? | BUY | 0.9929996003 | $1.95 |
| 05-17 22:39 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18? | SELL | 0.0028450097 | $0.34 |
| 05-16 21:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18? | BUY | 0.0119999916 | $1.42 |
| 04-23 19:25 | Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,000 on April 24? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.16 |
| 03-02 09:41 | Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,300 on March 3? | BUY | 0.995 | $2.20 |
| 02-23 07:16 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on February 23? | BUY | 0.9879999976 | $1.68 |
| 02-20 05:26 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on February 20? | BUY | 0.9939999973 | $1.46 |
| 02-12 09:44 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on February 12? | BUY | 0.998999649 | $1.48 |
| 01-26 18:39 | Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.997 | $1.0k |
| 01-26 18:33 | Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.0k |
| 01-26 18:31 | Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.998 | $1.0k |
| 01-26 18:26 | Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.0k |
| 01-26 18:25 | Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.998 | $1.0k |