PolyBot

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Traders

0x451cd933fde813d6f4dea950e4c98d46a54ad976

0x451cd933fde813d6f4dea950e4c98d46a54ad976

Realised P&L
$-4.30
Volume
$263.90
Markets traded
75
Open portfolio
$6.29

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded75
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? · No0.5900.963$1.63+$0.63
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? · Yes0.2500.380$1.52+$0.52
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings? · No0.4000.580$1.45+$0.45
Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $2.8B? · Yes0.2700.250$0.93−$0.07
Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? · No0.4900.375$0.77−$0.23

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-11 18:26Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?BUY0.4899998383$1.00
10-11 09:39Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?BUY0.25$1.00
10-10 21:16Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $2.8B?BUY0.2699999784$1.00
10-10 11:51Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.4$1.00
10-09 13:00S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 9?BUY0.8199999836$1.00
10-07 16:09Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.2399999808$1.00
10-07 04:59SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 7?BUY0.5899998466$1.00
10-06 20:59Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?BUY0.6799998912$1.00
10-06 12:58Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.59999988$1.00
10-06 04:58Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?BUY0.5899997404$1.00
10-05 16:57Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.469999906$1.00
10-05 03:56Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $180 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.4099998975$1.00
10-04 19:46Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?BUY0.7099998509$1.00
10-02 07:34S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 2?BUY0.3399999388$1.00
10-01 11:54WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 1?BUY0.7899998657$1.00