PolyBot

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Traders

FaultyDinosaur152

0x451af6b72df2b6b48ba829b2b9671d5120f83b01

Realised P&L
$-1.6k
Volume
$140.9k
Markets traded
968
Open portfolio
$35.37

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded968
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration65.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)4.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on September 28? · Yes0.0800.135$4.59+$1.87
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on September 27? · Yes0.1780.150$4.59−$0.85
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on September 27? · Yes0.1400.175$3.40+$0.68
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on September 28? · Yes0.1280.115$2.45−$0.27
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 27? · Yes0.3300.290$2.39−$0.33
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 28? · Yes0.2000.175$2.38−$0.34
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 27? · Yes0.3500.275$2.12−$0.58
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 27? · Yes0.1500.115$2.09−$0.63
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on September 28? · Yes0.1170.090$2.08−$0.64
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on September 28? · Yes0.1200.090$2.04−$0.68
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on September 27? · Yes0.1610.115$1.94−$0.78
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 27? · Yes0.0880.045$1.38−$1.32
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on September 28? · Yes0.1000.085$1.37−$0.24
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 27? · Yes0.0730.080$1.36+$0.12
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 28? · Yes0.1600.070$1.19−$1.53

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-26 23:17Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on September 28?BUY0.1$1.61
09-26 23:17Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on September 28?BUY0.1276534255$2.72
09-26 23:16Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on September 28?BUY0.1174545441$2.72
09-26 23:16Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on September 28?BUY0.1199999982$2.72
09-26 23:14Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on September 28?BUY0.08$2.72
09-26 22:56Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 27?BUY0.072823374$1.24
09-26 22:53Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 27?BUY0.3299999697$2.72
09-26 22:53Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 28?BUY0.16$2.72
09-26 22:52Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on September 27?BUY0.1611997147$2.72
09-26 22:52Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 27?BUY0.349999987$2.70
09-26 22:52Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 27?BUY0.0883636351$2.70
09-26 22:51Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on September 27?BUY0.1399999959$2.72
09-26 22:50Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 28?BUY0.2$2.72
09-26 22:47Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on September 27?BUY0.1963898917$2.72
09-26 22:46Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 27?BUY0.1499999945$2.72