FaultyDinosaur152
0x451af6b72df2b6b48ba829b2b9671d5120f83b01
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $140.9k
- Markets traded
- 968
- Open portfolio
- $35.37
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded968
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration65.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)4.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$790.33at 0.157Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 24?
- +$141.27at 0.631Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 18?
- +$117.22at 0.635Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 18?
- +$116.97at 0.640Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on June 17?
- +$107.13at 0.426Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 23:17 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on September 28? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.61 |
| 09-26 23:17 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on September 28? | BUY | 0.1276534255 | $2.72 |
| 09-26 23:16 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on September 28? | BUY | 0.1174545441 | $2.72 |
| 09-26 23:16 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on September 28? | BUY | 0.1199999982 | $2.72 |
| 09-26 23:14 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on September 28? | BUY | 0.08 | $2.72 |
| 09-26 22:56 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 27? | BUY | 0.072823374 | $1.24 |
| 09-26 22:53 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 27? | BUY | 0.3299999697 | $2.72 |
| 09-26 22:53 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 28? | BUY | 0.16 | $2.72 |
| 09-26 22:52 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on September 27? | BUY | 0.1611997147 | $2.72 |
| 09-26 22:52 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 27? | BUY | 0.349999987 | $2.70 |
| 09-26 22:52 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 27? | BUY | 0.0883636351 | $2.70 |
| 09-26 22:51 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on September 27? | BUY | 0.1399999959 | $2.72 |
| 09-26 22:50 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 28? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.72 |
| 09-26 22:47 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on September 27? | BUY | 0.1963898917 | $2.72 |
| 09-26 22:46 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 27? | BUY | 0.1499999945 | $2.72 |