SeanDavis5256
0x451af442b84fa4ac29f8c226f673c4116159a0c9
- Realised P&L
- $48.85
- Volume
- $277.8k
- Markets traded
- 346
- Open portfolio
- $54.68
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded346
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$482.37at 0.512Will "Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (December 30, 2025)
- +$232.83at 0.460Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 10–15 years in prison?
- +$223.47at 0.240Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed by March 31?
- +$153.23at 0.530Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?
- +$138.27at 0.664Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 7, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-08 19:48 | Will Trump issue a Gold Card by March 31? | SELL | 0.67 | $12.06 |
| 02-08 19:46 | Will Trump issue a Gold Card by March 31? | SELL | 0.67 | $34.17 |
| 02-08 18:57 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.914 | $26.51 |
| 02-08 18:56 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.914 | $7.31 |
| 02-08 17:28 | Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30? | SELL | 0.87 | $27.84 |
| 01-11 18:29 | Will Trump issue a Gold Card by March 31? | SELL | 0.74 | $8.88 |
| 01-11 14:05 | Will Jabarie Walker be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana? | SELL | 0.44 | $120.12 |
| 01-11 14:00 | Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by January 31? | SELL | 0.17 | $9.69 |
| 01-11 13:35 | Will John Harbaugh join the New York Giants prior to April 23, 2026? | SELL | 0.47 | $43.24 |
| 01-11 12:18 | Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by January 31? | BUY | 0.33 | $18.81 |
| 01-11 12:00 | Will Trump issue a Gold Card by March 31? | BUY | 0.75 | $60.75 |
| 01-11 11:46 | Will the Buffalo Bills be eliminated in the Conference Championship Round? | SELL | 0.86 | $281.22 |
| 01-11 10:51 | Will the Buffalo Bills be eliminated in the Conference Championship Round? | BUY | 0.88 | $287.76 |
| 01-11 09:26 | Will Trump issue a Gold Card by March 31? | SELL | 0.74 | $410.70 |
| 01-11 08:28 | Will Trump issue a Gold Card by March 31? | BUY | 0.74 | $410.70 |