v5489jyyweq32
0x45128f142acf4ecd4b2e82e8132104806c59c18b
- Realised P&L
- $-753.59
- Volume
- $8.8k
- Markets traded
- 103
- Open portfolio
- $0.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded103
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Saeed Jalili be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.001 | $0.73 | −$3.67 |
| Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on February 2? · Up | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$732.00 |
| Solana Up or Down - May 25, 6AM ET · Down | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.40at 0.971Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 27?
- +$0.23at 0.983Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 23?
- +$0.23at 0.993Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 4?
- +$0.19at 0.986Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 22?
- +$0.18at 0.994Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-12 06:39 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on August 12? | BUY | 0.9989999664 | $14.50 |
| 08-12 06:38 | Will the price of XRP be between $0.80 and $0.90 on August 12? | BUY | 0.9989999812 | $30.40 |
| 08-11 05:46 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 on August 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.50 |
| 08-11 05:46 | Will XRP dip to $0.80 on August 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $33.40 |
| 08-10 07:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 10? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.30 |
| 08-10 07:01 | Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on August 10? | BUY | 0.996 | $31.00 |
| 08-06 06:54 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 6? | BUY | 0.9979999668 | $14.60 |
| 08-06 06:51 | Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on August 6? | BUY | 0.9965136739 | $30.90 |
| 07-31 06:53 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.80 |
| 07-31 06:50 | Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $30.80 |
| 07-30 07:18 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 30? | BUY | 0.9969999897 | $13.50 |
| 07-30 07:17 | Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 30? | BUY | 0.998 | $33.60 |
| 07-29 06:04 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 on July 29? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.60 |
| 07-29 06:03 | Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 29? | BUY | 0.9979999843 | $33.80 |
| 07-27 08:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 27? | BUY | 0.9689999639 | $13.50 |