0x45124723c5aa18b15ba4547f750d6bb2d26e7e53
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 94
- Open portfolio
- $19.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- ClearMarkets traded94
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample43 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$202.99at 0.047Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?
- +$66.61at 0.235Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$29.18at 0.706Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?
- +$25.45at 0.440Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
- +$12.55at 0.009Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 14:10 | Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.02 | $2.00 |
| 10-30 14:09 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.2279999954 | $5.00 |
| 10-30 14:07 | Will You Can See Everything win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.1784450321 | $5.00 |
| 10-30 14:07 | Will The Adventures of Cliff Booth win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.0015666074 | $5.00 |
| 10-25 20:49 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.646999977 | $5.00 |
| 10-25 20:46 | Will The Debut win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.0030789659 | $2.00 |
| 10-25 20:46 | Will "I Play Rocky" win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.0028155531 | $2.00 |
| 10-25 20:44 | Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.015 | $33.12 |
| 09-25 15:06 | Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0089626188 | $19.79 |
| 07-12 19:07 | Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.1512932336 | $20.64 |
| 07-12 19:06 | Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.003 | $1.03 |
| 07-07 09:00 | Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.26 | $27.62 |
| 07-07 08:59 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.33 | $28.70 |
| 07-06 22:15 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.12 | $10.71 |
| 07-06 22:15 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.0701800345 | $28.87 |