mando.li
0x451226f31d9ba955fabfdb1cfecfee440fb71857
- Realised P&L
- $-1.4k
- Volume
- $289.4k
- Markets traded
- 2,416
- Open portfolio
- $167.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,416
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration40.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$171.89at 0.961Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?
- +$147.00at 0.412SS Arezzo vs. Palermo FC: O/U 2.5
- +$122.54at 0.737Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$86.33at 0.542SS Arezzo vs. Palermo FC: SS Arezzo O/U 0.5
- +$71.28at 0.298Ulsan HD FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 4.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 05:21 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 10-10 05:18 | Will the lowest temperature in Jeddah be 29°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 10-10 05:15 | Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 21°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 10-10 05:15 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.964 | $4.82 |
| 10-10 05:14 | Will the lowest temperature in Jeddah be 31°C on October 10? | SELL | 0.999 | $605.42 |
| 10-10 04:31 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.89 | $4.45 |
| 10-10 04:08 | Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 13°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.92 | $4.83 |
| 10-10 04:08 | Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 12°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 10-10 04:08 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on October 9? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 10-10 04:08 | Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 23°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.86 | $4.73 |
| 10-10 04:08 | Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 22°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.96 | $4.80 |
| 10-10 04:08 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on October 9? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 10-10 04:08 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on October 9? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 10-10 04:07 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 10? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 10-10 01:36 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.991 | $9.91 |