PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

mando.li

0x451226f31d9ba955fabfdb1cfecfee440fb71857

Realised P&L
$-1.4k
Volume
$289.4k
Markets traded
2,416
Open portfolio
$167.04

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,416
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration40.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration59.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 10? · No0.9920.996$99.04+$0.35
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C or below on October 10? · No0.9951.000$6.03+$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on October 10? · No0.9640.996$4.98+$0.16
Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be 43°F or below on October 9? · No0.9500.945$4.91−$0.03
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 10? · No0.9800.965$4.83−$0.07
Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 23°C on October 10? · Yes0.8600.810$4.46−$0.28
Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 21°C on October 10? · No0.9900.830$4.15−$0.80
Will the lowest temperature in San Francisco be between 56-57°F on October 9? · Yes0.9900.750$3.75−$1.20
Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on October 9? · Yes0.9800.750$3.75−$1.15
Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on October 10? · Yes0.9800.745$3.73−$1.18
Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 22°C on October 10? · No0.9600.605$3.02−$1.77
Will the lowest temperature in Jeddah be 29°C on October 10? · Yes0.9900.600$3.00−$1.95
Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 10? · No0.9700.595$2.98−$1.88
Will the lowest temperature in Guangzhou be 22°C on October 10? · No0.9700.595$2.98−$1.88
Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on October 10? · No0.9700.595$2.98−$1.88

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 05:21Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 10?BUY0.98$4.90
10-10 05:18Will the lowest temperature in Jeddah be 29°C on October 10?BUY0.99$4.95
10-10 05:15Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 21°C on October 10?BUY0.99$4.95
10-10 05:15Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on October 10?BUY0.964$4.82
10-10 05:14Will the lowest temperature in Jeddah be 31°C on October 10?SELL0.999$605.42
10-10 04:31Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 10?BUY0.89$4.45
10-10 04:08Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 13°C on October 9?BUY0.92$4.83
10-10 04:08Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 12°C on October 9?BUY0.98$4.90
10-10 04:08Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on October 9?SELL0.999$5.00
10-10 04:08Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 23°C on October 10?BUY0.86$4.73
10-10 04:08Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 22°C on October 10?BUY0.96$4.80
10-10 04:08Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on October 9?SELL0.999$5.00
10-10 04:08Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on October 9?SELL0.999$5.00
10-10 04:07Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 10?SELL0.999$9.99
10-10 01:36Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 10?BUY0.991$9.91