0x450baf087c0240c2160a980baa6ed4ca30dbb649
0x450baf087c0240c2160a980baa6ed4ca30dbb649
- Realised P&L
- $52.14
- Volume
- $366.65
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $38.51
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar14.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Botic van de Zandschulp · Nikoloz Basilashvili | 0.500 | 0.415 | $19.30 | −$3.95 |
| Chengdu Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Adrian Mannarino · Adrian Mannarino | 0.500 | 0.365 | $19.21 | −$7.11 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.80at 0.392San Diego 2: Patrick Maloney vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes
- +$16.54at 0.500Buenos Aires 2: Francisco Comesana vs Joaquin Aguilar
- +$10.54at 0.341San Diego 2: Trevor Svajda vs Federico Agustin Gomez
- +$-3.74at 0.500Bondar vs. Charaeva: Match O/U 22.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 04:14 | Bondar vs. Charaeva: Match O/U 22.5 | SELL | 0.4957142857 | $17.35 |
| 09-24 02:25 | Bondar vs. Charaeva: Match O/U 22.5 | SELL | 0.55 | $47.41 |
| 09-23 22:31 | Buenos Aires 2: Francisco Comesana vs Joaquin Aguilar | SELL | 0.71 | $58.82 |
| 09-23 21:51 | San Diego 2: Trevor Svajda vs Federico Agustin Gomez | SELL | 0.72 | $20.57 |
| 09-23 21:01 | San Diego 2: Trevor Svajda vs Federico Agustin Gomez | BUY | 0.33 | $9.43 |
| 09-23 18:13 | San Diego 2: Patrick Maloney vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | BUY | 0.38 | $17.99 |