Y-28
0x4509ebe82607ae47d1add727aa950910ccd76448
- Realised P&L
- $17.65
- Volume
- $4.7k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $60.45
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration71.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration87.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$109.65at 0.574Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
- +$9.80at 0.751Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$9.41at 0.378Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on July 24?
- +$7.23at 0.771Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on July 25?
- +$6.59at 0.447Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during cabinet meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 15:21 | Will Republicans win Alaska, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 15:21 | Will Republicans win Kansas, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Ohio, and Texas? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 15:21 | Will Republicans win Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Texas? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 15:21 | Will Republicans win Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Maine? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 15:20 | Will Republicans win Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 15:20 | Will Republicans win Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 15:20 | Will Republicans win Ohio and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 15:16 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2899999985 | $50.00 |
| 09-17 00:05 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5399999988 | $139.00 |
| 09-15 09:56 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1099999996 | $8.00 |
| 09-14 10:14 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30? | SELL | 0.0407548648 | $13.53 |
| 09-14 10:14 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31? | SELL | 0.026 | $1.04 |
| 09-13 02:23 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 13? | BUY | 0.9099999947 | $19.00 |
| 09-13 01:53 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2099999998 | $60.00 |
| 09-12 18:55 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24? | SELL | 0.07 | $7.37 |