PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

toxa32145

0x45029924c3aed4221740debc2fa652bc8050c240

Realised P&L
$-14.53
Volume
$2.7k
Markets traded
98
Open portfolio
$6.36

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded98
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 15? · Yes0.2200.300$3.60+$0.96
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 15? · Yes0.1200.120$1.80+$0.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 15? · No0.2760.080$0.96−$2.35
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET · Up0.7300.000$0.00−$3.80
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET · Up0.1500.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET · Up0.0900.000$0.00−$0.54
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET · Up0.2500.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET · Down0.3800.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET · Down0.2600.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET · Down0.0600.000$0.00−$1.02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET · Down0.2300.000$0.00−$1.82

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 18:02Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 15?BUY0.12$1.80
10-08 17:55Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 15?BUY0.22$2.64
10-08 17:52Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 15?BUY0.28$1.96
10-08 17:51Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 15?BUY0.27$1.35
10-08 11:48Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 8?SELL0.06$0.60
10-06 18:44Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 7?SELL0.63$6.30
10-06 17:22Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 7?SELL0.64$6.40
10-05 20:34Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 6?SELL0.42$2.15
10-05 17:25Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6?SELL0.52$5.19
10-05 09:55Ethereum Up or Down on October 5?BUY0.19$1.90
10-05 00:09Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 5?BUY0.37$3.70
10-04 18:57Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 4?SELL0.08$0.08
10-04 17:54Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 4?BUY0.2$1.00
10-04 17:24Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETSELL0.4$0.04
10-04 17:22Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETSELL0.44$2.20