PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

NeonTimber

0x44fed703e312c61096a83ab0442a0918fe7f301d

Realised P&L
$-449.25
Volume
$26.7k
Markets traded
287
Open portfolio
$256.78

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded287
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · No0.9350.955$97.49+$1.99
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · No0.9670.985$49.32+$0.87
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.9100.966$48.18+$2.79
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? · Yes0.2700.295$13.28+$1.13
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.2170.185$12.95−$2.25
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.0370.048$12.03+$2.58
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch? · No0.6950.875$9.63+$1.98
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.0480.074$7.40+$2.60
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch? · No0.2000.968$6.49+$5.15
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5 · Over0.0400.000$0.00−$1.67
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 14? · Up0.1100.000$0.00−$2.14
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 2 Egypt? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$3.01
Exact Score: Ghana 0 - 1 Panama? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$1.15
Will Elena Rybakina be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$6.57
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 12? · Up0.0600.000$0.00−$2.96

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 12:17Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?BUY0.27$12.15
09-29 17:13Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?SELL0.071$3.55
09-29 02:51Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?SELL0.004$0.40
09-29 02:47Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?SELL0.011$0.00
09-28 03:46Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?SELL0.029$0.29
09-28 03:37Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?SELL0.031$1.55
09-28 02:33Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.33$13.20
09-28 02:33Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?BUY0.038$1.90
09-27 23:15Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?SELL0.942$47.10
09-27 21:39Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?BUY0.935$46.75
09-27 21:14Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?SELL0.072$3.60
09-27 16:44Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?SELL0.59$29.50
09-26 15:02Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?BUY0.22$11.00
09-26 14:49Will Scotland win on 2026-09-26?BUY0.11$5.50
09-26 12:46Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?SELL0.056$2.80