NeonTimber
0x44fed703e312c61096a83ab0442a0918fe7f301d
- Realised P&L
- $-449.25
- Volume
- $26.7k
- Markets traded
- 287
- Open portfolio
- $256.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded287
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$77.01at 0.234Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on July 30?
- +$47.62at 0.051Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 DR Congo?
- +$47.10at 0.062Exact Score: Uzbekistan 1 - 3 Colombia?
- +$35.67at 0.939Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?
- +$34.74at 0.316Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 12:17 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? | BUY | 0.27 | $12.15 |
| 09-29 17:13 | Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | SELL | 0.071 | $3.55 |
| 09-29 02:51 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.40 |
| 09-29 02:47 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.00 |
| 09-28 03:46 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? | SELL | 0.029 | $0.29 |
| 09-28 03:37 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? | SELL | 0.031 | $1.55 |
| 09-28 02:33 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.33 | $13.20 |
| 09-28 02:33 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? | BUY | 0.038 | $1.90 |
| 09-27 23:15 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? | SELL | 0.942 | $47.10 |
| 09-27 21:39 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? | BUY | 0.935 | $46.75 |
| 09-27 21:14 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? | SELL | 0.072 | $3.60 |
| 09-27 16:44 | Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | SELL | 0.59 | $29.50 |
| 09-26 15:02 | Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.22 | $11.00 |
| 09-26 14:49 | Will Scotland win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.11 | $5.50 |
| 09-26 12:46 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? | SELL | 0.056 | $2.80 |