PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

speex404

0x44fe1a48d94e0ccdfb601f576a05b2f4da8862fe

Realised P&L
$-197.48
Volume
$19.4k
Markets traded
25
Open portfolio
$90.10

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded25
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration54.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote? · No0.9770.973$19.92$0.08
Will MrBeast hit 141 billion views by September 30? · Yes0.8900.977$19.54+$1.74
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.5100.395$15.80$4.60
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.7500.755$10.57+$0.07
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? · No0.9300.925$9.95$0.05
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.8100.810$8.10+$0.00
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? · No0.9690.941$4.86$0.14
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 27, 2026? · No0.1300.100$1.37$0.41
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 26 and 28 million views on week 1? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$11.01
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 28 and 30 million views on week 1? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$3.28
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 32 and 34 million views on week 1? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 22 and 24 million views on week 1? · Yes0.1510.000$0.00$83.11
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 34 and 36 million views on week 1? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.50
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 24 and 26 million views on week 1? · Yes0.0260.000$0.00$31.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-10 05:23Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.4513750938$18.05
09-09 20:25Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.4656464124$21.61
09-04 06:06Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.49$9.80
09-04 06:04Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.75$10.50
09-03 21:16Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1?BUY0.93$14.88
09-03 09:56Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.539$9.70
09-02 22:55Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 27, 2026?BUY0.13$1.79
09-02 21:22Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 22 and 24 million views on week 1?BUY0.249$9.96
09-02 21:03Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 28 and 30 million views on week 1?BUY0.002$0.20
09-02 21:03Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 26 and 28 million views on week 1?BUY0.02$1.60
09-02 21:03Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 24 and 26 million views on week 1?BUY0.053$1.06
09-02 20:35Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 30 and 32 million views on week 1?BUY0.001$0.72
09-02 20:35Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 28 and 30 million views on week 1?BUY0.002$0.88
09-02 20:23Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 28 and 30 million views on week 1?BUY0.001$0.21
09-02 20:23Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 30 and 32 million views on week 1?BUY0.001$1.00