0x44fD2f4028fFdF8918FF7Ac447D13bf8AF108223-1779284601232
0x44fd2f4028ffdf8918ff7ac447d13bf8af108223
- Realised P&L
- $-189.10
- Volume
- $14.1k
- Markets traded
- 163
- Open portfolio
- $7.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded163
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.20at 0.080Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 29?
- +$14.38at 0.115Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 21?
- +$13.64at 0.090Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 24?
- +$12.60at 0.230Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 22?
- +$10.58at 0.167Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 09:51 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.035 | $0.18 |
| 10-05 09:22 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 10-01 09:41 | Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.022 | $0.44 |
| 09-29 09:17 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.0295175722 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 09:16 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.18 | $1.80 |
| 09-29 08:45 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.43 | $7.74 |
| 09-27 15:18 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 27? | SELL | 0.99 | $11.88 |
| 09-27 10:52 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.02 |
| 09-26 09:48 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.02 | $2.69 |
| 09-23 14:12 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 23? | SELL | 0.78 | $13.65 |
| 09-22 16:44 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.973 | $16.53 |
| 09-22 10:36 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.16 | $2.80 |
| 09-22 10:33 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.06 | $0.60 |
| 09-22 10:32 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.02 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 10:31 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.66 |