PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x44fD2f4028fFdF8918FF7Ac447D13bf8AF108223-1779284601232

0x44fd2f4028ffdf8918ff7ac447d13bf8af108223

Realised P&L
$-189.10
Volume
$14.1k
Markets traded
163
Open portfolio
$7.07

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded163
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 09:51Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on October 6?BUY0.035$0.18
10-05 09:22Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 5?BUY0.2$2.00
10-01 09:41Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on October 2?BUY0.022$0.44
09-29 09:17Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 30?BUY0.0295175722$1.00
09-29 09:16Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 30?BUY0.18$1.80
09-29 08:45Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 29?BUY0.43$7.74
09-27 15:18Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 27?SELL0.99$11.88
09-27 10:52Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 28?BUY0.06$1.02
09-26 09:48Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 27?BUY0.02$2.69
09-23 14:12Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 23?SELL0.78$13.65
09-22 16:44Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 22?SELL0.973$16.53
09-22 10:36Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 23?BUY0.16$2.80
09-22 10:33Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 23?BUY0.06$0.60
09-22 10:32Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 23?BUY0.02$2.00
09-22 10:31Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 23?BUY0.002$0.66