RealMe.
0x44e45d42bfb6e4bac02a7cd25b81b44c299ef0ac
- Realised P&L
- $-2.66
- Volume
- $49.45
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $1.02
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration81.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester United FC vs. AS Roma end in a draw? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.245 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-13? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Stellenbosch FC win on 2026-09-01? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.86at 0.542Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV Werder Bremen end in a draw?
- +$0.19at 0.520Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.997Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
- +$0.00at 0.996Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?
- +$-0.00at 0.997Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 07:29 | Will Manchester United FC vs. AS Roma end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 06:10 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.43 |
| 10-09 23:09 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-13? | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 20:08 | Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV Werder Bremen end in a draw? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 20:00 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.62 | $1.19 |
| 09-04 19:55 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.52 | $1.00 |
| 08-31 21:08 | Will Stellenbosch FC win on 2026-09-01? | BUY | 0.3599999208 | $2.00 |
| 08-31 16:59 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1399998824 | $1.00 |
| 08-31 16:55 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.00 |
| 08-31 16:55 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.00 |
| 08-31 16:54 | Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.00 |
| 08-28 23:15 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.997 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 23:14 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.9959990638 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 09:33 | Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | BUY | 0.997 | $2.00 |
| 08-28 09:30 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | SELL | 0.997 | $1.99 |