0x44ddd9f5fb90832f0be0ac791fc75b60bf2811f9
0x44ddd9f5fb90832f0be0ac791fc75b60bf2811f9
- Realised P&L
- $-590.75
- Volume
- $4.3k
- Markets traded
- 93
- Open portfolio
- $6.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-13.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded93
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)81.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$63.00at 0.400WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on April 22?
- +$57.49at 0.389Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on April 27?
- +$57.00at 0.430Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?
- +$53.29at 0.502WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on April 20?
- +$36.92at 0.480Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $73 Week of April 27 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-20 12:57 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on April 20? | SELL | 0.999 | $28.70 |