trader-44db3d38
0x44db3d38f2b14e3126f62bd399bb24ab3b629ed4
- Realised P&L
- $-60.35
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 266
- Open portfolio
- $99.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded266
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: South Korea vs Saudi Arabia - Game 2 Winner · South Korea | 0.991 | 1.000 | $50.37 | +$0.43 |
| Will Maldives win on 2026-10-01? · No | 0.985 | 0.971 | $49.21 | −$0.71 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.89at 0.347XRP Up or Down - June 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
- +$7.16at 0.523BNB Up or Down - August 23, 3AM ET
- +$5.67at 0.150BNB Up or Down - August 23, 8PM ET
- +$4.45at 0.483XRP Up or Down - June 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
- +$4.30at 0.327XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-27 01:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 08-26 23:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET | BUY | 0.52 | $2.60 |
| 08-26 23:45 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 26, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET | BUY | 0.55 | $2.75 |
| 08-26 23:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 08-26 22:05 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET | BUY | 0.55 | $2.75 |
| 08-26 22:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 08-26 17:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 08-26 17:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 08-26 16:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 08-26 16:40 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 08-26 16:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 08-26 15:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 08-26 15:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 08-26 14:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 08-26 14:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |