Loyalty-Crash
0x44d9200a6b0106d041f9460fa84d054736c14c1a
- Realised P&L
- $104.9k
- Volume
- $1.29M
- Markets traded
- 120
- Open portfolio
- $88.0k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar8.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded120
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.0kat 0.282Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
- +$27.3kat 0.464Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$22.5kat 0.250Trump wins every swing state?
- +$18.7kat 0.694Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
- +$6.9kat 0.655[Single Market] Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-12 17:37 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL | 0.9868559325 | $5.5k |
| 05-19 23:34 | Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.010544473 | $721.30 |
| 05-19 23:30 | Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by 9% or more? | BUY | 0.16 | $630.56 |
| 05-19 23:29 | Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by 9% or more? | BUY | 0.14 | $8.49 |
| 05-19 22:47 | Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | BUY | 0.1192788619 | $2.0k |
| 05-19 22:45 | Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | BUY | 0.13 | $65.00 |
| 05-19 22:38 | Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.6k |
| 05-19 22:38 | Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | BUY | 0.13 | $7.80 |
| 05-19 22:37 | Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | BUY | 0.122 | $26.23 |
| 05-19 21:40 | Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | BUY | 0.368 | $77.28 |
| 05-19 20:22 | Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | BUY | 0.3908213719 | $98.46 |
| 05-19 19:28 | Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | BUY | 0.391 | $9.20 |
| 05-19 18:54 | Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.012 | $820.87 |
| 05-19 18:52 | Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | BUY | 0.396 | $9.09 |
| 05-19 18:52 | Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | BUY | 0.3955082901 | $293.17 |