PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x44ce5dbd854c435a50238614f91ab15c14702626

0x44ce5dbd854c435a50238614f91ab15c14702626

Realised P&L
$48.84
Volume
$511.88
Markets traded
7
Open portfolio
$77.15

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar9.5%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded7
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration99.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026? · Yes0.3010.505$33.55+$13.55
Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026? · Yes0.3840.385$28.24+$0.05
Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026? · Yes0.3190.295$9.28−$0.77
Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026? · Yes0.1350.085$6.07−$3.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 10:46Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?BUY0.39$8.19
10-15 10:46Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?BUY0.39$4.04
10-15 10:46Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?BUY0.39$8.19
10-15 10:46Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?BUY0.37$7.77
10-15 04:58Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?BUY0.3009999988$20.00
10-15 02:53Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?SELL0.282$25.79
10-15 01:59Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?BUY0.13$4.29
10-15 01:57Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?BUY0.2655381367$15.00
10-15 01:57Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?BUY0.249$1.99
10-15 01:56Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?BUY0.2459985163$6.63
10-14 04:08Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?BUY0.543999985$11.60
10-14 04:06Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?BUY0.44$12.83
10-14 04:04Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?BUY0.36$13.28
10-13 16:48Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?SELL0.12$0.86
10-13 16:47Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?BUY0.1399999832$1.00