PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ooww

0x44ca401928e5b22fd7704f2999d255f3e96d3296

Realised P&L
$2.57
Volume
$10.9k
Markets traded
270
Open portfolio
$24.25

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded270
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)12.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-16 House seat? · No0.9400.931$11.77$0.11
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-24 House seat? · Yes0.9720.962$7.35$0.08
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.9700.787$5.13$1.19

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 16:59Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2026 NFL MVP?SELL0.945$5.07
08-27 13:22Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.979$6.41
08-21 18:02Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?SELL0.973$6.66
08-21 04:32Will BoomBoys Win The International 2026?BUY0.98$9.63
07-30 16:49Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.969$7.72
07-30 07:33Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.979$10.46
07-23 13:23US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?BUY0.97$11.21
07-23 08:47Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?SELL0.961$10.18
07-18 12:19Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.977$7.08
07-17 05:25Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.978$8.90
07-15 12:06Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.978$6.74
07-10 02:36Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.97$6.32
07-07 07:54Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?SELL0.962$10.89
07-07 01:18Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?SELL0.973$6.42
07-06 04:15Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?BUY0.9773472222$11.96