ooww
0x44ca401928e5b22fd7704f2999d255f3e96d3296
- Realised P&L
- $2.57
- Volume
- $10.9k
- Markets traded
- 270
- Open portfolio
- $24.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded270
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)12.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party win the PA-16 House seat? · No | 0.940 | 0.931 | $11.77 | −$0.11 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-24 House seat? · Yes | 0.972 | 0.962 | $7.35 | −$0.08 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No | 0.970 | 0.787 | $5.13 | −$1.19 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.43at 0.880LoL: Berlin International Gaming vs Team Orange Gaming (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffs
- +$0.38at 0.982Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 10?
- +$0.36at 0.900Over $30M committed to the Ranger public sale?
- +$0.31at 0.986Bitcoin Up or Down on January 10?
- +$0.26at 0.920Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 16:59 | Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2026 NFL MVP? | SELL | 0.945 | $5.07 |
| 08-27 13:22 | Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.979 | $6.41 |
| 08-21 18:02 | Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | SELL | 0.973 | $6.66 |
| 08-21 04:32 | Will BoomBoys Win The International 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $9.63 |
| 07-30 16:49 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.969 | $7.72 |
| 07-30 07:33 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.979 | $10.46 |
| 07-23 13:23 | US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30? | BUY | 0.97 | $11.21 |
| 07-23 08:47 | Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026? | SELL | 0.961 | $10.18 |
| 07-18 12:19 | Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.977 | $7.08 |
| 07-17 05:25 | Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.978 | $8.90 |
| 07-15 12:06 | Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.978 | $6.74 |
| 07-10 02:36 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.97 | $6.32 |
| 07-07 07:54 | Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.962 | $10.89 |
| 07-07 01:18 | Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.973 | $6.42 |
| 07-06 04:15 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | BUY | 0.9773472222 | $11.96 |