gman4441
0x44c298af043b2a3b707037b4939d2c01996a7a21
- Realised P&L
- $-2.1k
- Volume
- $2.33M
- Markets traded
- 75
- Open portfolio
- $341.66
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded75
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration68.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.1kat 0.494Biden drops out of presidential race?
- +$1.8kat 0.807Will JD Vance win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
- +$1.4kat 0.226Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
- +$1.1kat 0.043Will Byron Donalds win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
- +$680.67at 0.595Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-08 01:12 | Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? | BUY | 0.3775634572 | $344.00 |
| 04-08 01:11 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.0033420623 | $49.52 |
| 04-08 00:25 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | BUY | 0.1922722463 | $411.00 |
| 04-08 00:11 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.215 | $142.53 |
| 04-08 00:11 | Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs? | SELL | 0.4702819631 | $247.51 |
| 03-01 03:00 | Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | BUY | 0.32 | $180.00 |
| 03-01 02:44 | Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | BUY | 0.32 | $100.00 |
| 03-01 02:42 | Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished? | BUY | 0.3236220259 | $60.00 |
| 03-01 02:38 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 2? | BUY | 0.0829999987 | $55.00 |
| 02-28 22:03 | Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.0480337143 | $14.25 |
| 02-28 22:00 | Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.0479999982 | $25.00 |
| 02-28 21:58 | Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | BUY | 0.3299999991 | $155.00 |
| 02-28 21:53 | Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | BUY | 0.3299999978 | $100.00 |
| 02-28 21:44 | Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | BUY | 0.33 | $66.00 |
| 02-28 21:43 | Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | BUY | 0.3299999973 | $55.00 |