Maycfu
0x44bcc10f6baaa6a7af0b383ea218f6ed2ad0ee57
- Realised P&L
- $-663.19
- Volume
- $13.7k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $0.58
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia enter Havrylivka by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.036 | 0.030 | $0.58 | −$0.10 |
| Spread: Wuhan San Zhen FC (-1.5) · Wuhan San Zhen FC | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$97.23 |
| Spread: Haras El Hodood SC (-1.5) · Kahrabaa Ismailia FC | 0.940 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$601.59 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.88at 0.920Spread: Club Puebla (-2.5)
- +$10.76at 0.948Spread: Northern Ireland (-2.5)
- +$9.05at 0.953Spread: Israel (-2.5)
- +$2.00at 0.350US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
- +$0.95at 0.060KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-23 09:12 | KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? | SELL | 0.061 | $57.95 |
| 07-09 10:46 | Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.962 | $53.86 |
| 07-09 08:38 | Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.962 | $250.11 |
| 06-04 08:13 | Spread: Northern Ireland (-2.5) | BUY | 0.946 | $193.93 |
| 06-03 09:33 | Spread: Israel (-2.5) | BUY | 0.952 | $184.69 |
| 05-20 03:05 | Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30? | SELL | 0.07 | $46.28 |
| 05-20 03:04 | Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30? | SELL | 0.07 | $48.30 |
| 05-19 12:18 | NATO dissolves before 2027? | SELL | 0.04 | $59.12 |
| 05-18 08:30 | Spread: Haras El Hodood SC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.94 | $601.59 |
| 05-18 06:55 | Will Alberta join the US? | BUY | 0.951 | $606.74 |
| 04-10 11:15 | Spread: Club Puebla (-2.5) | BUY | 0.92 | $332.12 |
| 04-10 09:47 | EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30? | BUY | 0.965 | $331.96 |