PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

YOU-CAN-RUN-BUT-YOU-CANT-HIDE

0x44bb9b6af128bdcdac143f9fe845a8a9a105c186

Realised P&L
$-6.4k
Volume
$318.7k
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$10.4k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
CautionOpen concentration87.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? · Yes0.2950.040$9.1k−$58.9k
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? · Yes0.2950.038$1.2k−$8.0k
Yoon out of custody before 2027? · Yes0.1370.029$90.70−$345.41
Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027? · Yes0.1300.029$0.99−$3.44
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? · Yes0.0390.000$0.00−$670.67
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027? · No0.0220.000$0.00−$16.34
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? · No0.2930.000$0.00−$1.3k
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00−$219.22
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? · Yes0.4300.000$0.00−$1.5k
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? · Yes0.0650.000$0.00−$832.26
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? · No0.2730.000$0.00−$1.8k

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-29 03:37Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.004$0.20
06-12 00:08Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?BUY0.13$28.11
06-12 00:07Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?BUY0.1294015467$29.90
06-12 00:06Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?BUY0.1289999935$14.95
06-12 00:05Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?BUY0.12813915$29.90
06-12 00:04Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?BUY0.128$14.95
06-12 00:03Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?BUY0.1246068155$29.90
06-12 00:02Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?BUY0.1155$4.62
06-11 17:24Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?BUY0.1209999491$1.95
06-11 17:23Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?BUY0.12$1.34
06-11 12:53Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?BUY0.1348348733$29.96
06-11 12:52Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?BUY0.1349513076$29.96
06-11 12:51Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?BUY0.1349513076$29.96
06-11 12:50Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?BUY0.1349999967$29.96
06-11 12:49Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?BUY0.1349999934$14.98