frantex30
0x44b10b04b4d3a8bc57c29168ced4b62a715ce5f6
- Realised P&L
- $-243.73
- Volume
- $6.7k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $16.80
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December? · Yes | 0.037 | 0.033 | $16.80 | −$2.20 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 10? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.30 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$237.29 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 11? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.50 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.33at 0.003Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-05 12:13 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.0367622066 | $19.00 |
| 06-28 09:45 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0629999949 | $11.00 |
| 06-21 18:04 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0669999968 | $19.20 |
| 06-19 11:55 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0739999943 | $11.30 |
| 06-18 07:02 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0819999959 | $20.00 |
| 06-08 14:43 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1 | $66.00 |
| 05-29 13:32 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1029999906 | $9.00 |
| 05-26 17:20 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1069999908 | $9.30 |
| 05-26 12:14 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1069999975 | $36.50 |
| 05-25 17:18 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1019999976 | $36.50 |
| 04-22 05:09 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0809999962 | $18.50 |
| 03-11 18:13 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 11? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.50 |
| 03-10 23:11 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March? | BUY | 0.009 | $1.10 |
| 03-10 18:53 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 10? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.30 |
| 03-10 17:30 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.67 |