tyugjhj
0x44adda1c1da9c543b5354ff2b47204d6ec09116e
- Realised P&L
- $-191.91
- Volume
- $14.5k
- Markets traded
- 128
- Open portfolio
- $19.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded128
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.10at 0.100BNB Up or Down on June 25?
- +$25.04at 0.320Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$24.61at 0.500GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?
- +$13.59at 0.781Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$11.49at 0.610Will Brazil reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 19:51 | Will RU Saint-Gilloise vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw? | SELL | 0.13 | $0.65 |
| 08-04 19:51 | Will RU Saint-Gilloise vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw? | BUY | 0.29 | $1.45 |
| 08-04 17:58 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 09:06 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.20 |
| 08-03 19:58 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 19:09 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on August 2? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 05:49 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 02:22 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 10:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 1? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.89 |
| 08-01 10:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 1? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 09:51 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 21:26 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 30? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 07-29 23:42 | Will the highest temperature in London be 38°C or higher on July 29? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 07-29 21:35 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on July 29? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 07-29 01:57 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.755 | $38.02 |