yupiiiiiiiii
0x44a1159b925c145e70f746bb3f0f58380553bd21
- Realised P&L
- $-377.7k
- Volume
- $145.86M
- Markets traded
- 3,588
- Open portfolio
- $8.9k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,588
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration67.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) · Cardinals | 0.440 | 0.983 | $7.9k | +$4.3k |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.055 | $646.09 | −$5.3k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes | 0.395 | 0.115 | $287.50 | −$700.40 |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) · Cowboys | 0.038 | 0.017 | $108.56 | −$134.00 |
| Cleveland Guardians vs. Colorado Rockies · Colorado Rockies | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.0k |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds · Cincinnati Reds | 0.458 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.0k |
| US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Camila Osorio · Camila Osorio | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$394.23 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies · Colorado Rockies | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.0k |
| Spread: Bears (-3.5) · Bears | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.2k |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.1k |
| Spread: Rams (-6.5) · Giants | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.5k |
| Spread: Packers (-3.5) · Panthers | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.5k |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.194 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.4k |
| Will Elena Rybakina be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$177.48 |
| Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$340.06 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$131.5kat 0.048Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo
- +$59.8kat 0.475Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
- +$50.5kat 0.020Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sorana Cirstea
- +$42.5kat 0.482Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
- +$42.4kat 0.135Miami Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Sebastian Korda
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 21:11 | Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) | BUY | 0.06 | $31.38 |
| 11-01 18:02 | Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) | BUY | 0.44 | $706.35 |
| 11-01 16:29 | Will Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? | SELL | 0.27 | $126.57 |
| 11-01 13:56 | Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.46 | $8.3k |
| 10-31 21:09 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.999 | $42.14 |
| 10-31 19:05 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | SELL | 0.6561184618 | $11.9k |
| 10-31 19:02 | Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.999 | $284.71 |
| 10-31 15:19 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6779674521 | $500.33 |
| 10-31 14:27 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.998 | $172.19 |
| 10-31 14:00 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.0k |
| 10-31 11:49 | Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.41 | $16.81 |
| 10-31 00:16 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.668300098 | $402.50 |
| 10-31 00:15 | Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6677727252 | $287.82 |
| 10-31 00:05 | Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | SELL | 0.35 | $848.56 |
| 10-31 00:01 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6384970911 | $1.2k |