PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

yupiiiiiiiii

0x44a1159b925c145e70f746bb3f0f58380553bd21

Realised P&L
$-306.6k
Volume
$140.41M
Markets traded
3,269
Open portfolio
$76.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,269
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration49.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No0.9350.920$21.4k$331.56
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.4410.436$13.2k$123.77
Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · No0.9510.955$9.3k+$36.10
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? · Yes0.9740.861$7.1k$930.21
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · No0.8480.870$4.3k+$109.02
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes0.5020.526$4.3k+$194.78
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.6480.787$3.9k+$698.69
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · No0.5960.473$3.1k$805.53
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · Yes0.5100.195$3.1k$5.0k
Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · No0.8710.998$1.2k+$155.46
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0060.005$977.26$48.05
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat? · Yes0.6450.620$927.91$37.07
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · No0.9500.949$704.90$0.49
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes0.2370.131$703.13$576.77
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by December 31? · Yes0.9470.862$685.58$67.75

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 20:59Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-16?BUY0.999$947.59
09-16 20:16Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-09-16?BUY0.999$513.49
09-16 20:07Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-09-16?SELL0.996$8.96
09-16 19:59Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-09-16?BUY0.9984594951$19.5k
09-16 18:43Will FC Lugano win on 2026-09-16?BUY0.999$999.00
09-16 18:42Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-16?BUY0.999$6.1k
09-16 18:42Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-16?BUY0.999$5.0k
09-16 18:28Will FC Lugano win on 2026-09-16?BUY0.997$99.70
09-16 18:24Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-09-16?BUY0.999$614.42
09-15 22:23Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.952$100.58
09-15 22:21Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.046$85.10
09-14 20:35Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-09-14?BUY0.999$10.0k
09-14 18:23Will Como 1907 win on 2026-09-14?SELL0.9907547581$4.1k
09-14 18:19Will Como 1907 win on 2026-09-14?BUY0.999$2.9k
09-13 20:54Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-13?BUY0.998$5.0k